Efecto de la intervención gubernamental sobre el sector ganadero bovino. El caso Argentino

Abstract

During the year 2021, Argentine government ordered the total, and posteriorly partial, prohibition of beef meat exports. High prices of beef cuts paid locally encouraged the adoption of these measures. This policy was conceived to increase the beef meat supply at affordable prices for the local consumer. In this research we aim to identify the impact of the 2021 policy measures on the decision-making process of cattle producers, and ulteriorly, on the livestock evolution. In this research, breeders are the type of cattle producers of interest since their decisions affect directly the livestock evolution. To achieve our goal, we carry out different activities. From a quantitative approach, firstly we analyze the evolution of the main livestock variables immediately after the policy implementation. Next, we compare the national livestock system for the periods 2003-2018 and 2021 in order to detect trend changes in the sector performance, according to the methodology proposed by Arzubi (Arzubi, 2019). Now, from a theoretical approach, we focus on the political and economic purpose of the measures under analysis, from the perspective of Neo-institutionalism. Findings obtained here allow us to conclude that the policy measures under analysis have negatively affected decision-making process of the livestock producer (and the national cattle stock performance)