Modelos de competencia metapoblacional para las políticas públicas habitacionales en ciudades intermedias turísticas. Una propuesta para San Carlos de Bariloche

Abstract

Touristic cities tend to face challenges in providing housing access for their resident populations. Among the multiple possible causes, one is the competition that arises between the temporary rental use and permanent residential use. In San Carlos de Bariloche (Patagonia, Argentina), in the post-pandemic context, policies implemented by the national government led to a significant increase in annual tourist arrivals. This prompted a rise in the availability of cabins and vacation rental apartments, exacerbating housing access difficulties. In this study, we analyze the dispute over housing, its relationship with local tourism, and public policy intervention. To achieve this, two strategies were employed. An analysis of available statistics and the adaptation of a metapopulation competition model to formalize the empirically observed housing dynamics. Among the key findings, we present a model that links both variables and provides a theoretical justification for a zoning policy to mitigate housing issues in the context of a growing tourist demand